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A 5% raise on $80k is worth $45,856 over ten years. A 5% bonus is worth $4,000. Same percentage, different species.
When an employer offers a choice — a raise or a bonus — the amounts look identical and aren't. A raise compounds: it inflates every future raise, every 401(k) match percentage, and often your next job's starting point. A bonus is a one-time payment that changes nothing downstream. This calculator shows the cumulative gap over the years you'll actually stay, the invested future value of the difference, and the recurring-bonus variant where the raise still wins.
Anyone offered "raise or bonus" uses it to see the compounding gap — equal percentages are not equal money, because the raise inflates every future raise, match, and bonus target while the bonus pays once and evaporates.
The raise, almost always. Over ten years with typical 3% annual increases, the 5% raise pays $45,856 cumulatively versus the bonus's $4,000 — and the gap widens every year because each future raise applies to a bigger base. Even if the SAME 5% were paid as a recurring bonus every year, the raise wins by $5,856 over the decade because bonuses never compound. Invested at 7%, the raise's advantage grows to about $7,552.
Two. First, if you're leaving within a year — a raise you won't collect compounds for your employer, so take the cash (though the higher base still anchors your next offer, which argues the other way). Second, if the bonus is dramatically larger — a 20% bonus versus a 3% raise is a different comparison; the calculator lets you sanity-check the crossover. Rule of thumb: an equal-percentage raise beats a one-time bonus by year two.
Everything percentage-based: 401(k) match dollars, bonus targets set as % of base, overtime rates if non-exempt, life insurance multiples, disability coverage, and severance formulas all scale with base salary. A bonus touches none of them. That invisible layer typically adds another 10–20% to the raise's real advantage beyond the raw compounding this calculator shows.