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Refinance Break-Even

A lower payment is not the same as saving money. Here is the difference.

Refinance pitches lead with the monthly payment drop because it always looks good — even when the new loan costs more in total. This calculator gives you the break-even month, then the rigorous version: everything you pay plus everything you still owe at the month you plan to leave, on both paths. And it warns you when resetting to a new 30-year clock quietly raises your lifetime interest.

Why people use this

Homeowners getting refi mailers use it to test the pitch: break-even month first, then the horizon total that exposes a reset clock. It is the calculator that separates a lower payment from actual savings — the confusion lenders profit from.

How it works

  1. Enter your current balance, rate, and remaining term from your latest statement.
  2. Enter the quoted new rate, new term, and the closing costs from the Loan Estimate.
  3. Set how long you plan to stay — the horizon comparison, not the monthly drop, is the real answer.

Common questions

How do I calculate refinance break-even?

Closing costs ÷ monthly payment savings. $4,500 in costs with a $336 monthly saving breaks even in about 13 months — leave before that and the refi cost you money, stay past it and you are ahead. But break-even alone misses the clock reset: a new 30-year term on a loan with 27 years left adds three years of payments.

Is a lower monthly payment always worth it?

No — the payment can drop while total interest rises, whenever the new term is longer than your remaining one. On a $320,000 balance, dropping from 7.5% to 6.25% with a fresh 30-year clock saves $336 a month but can still add interest versus finishing the current loan. The horizon table above compares outlay plus remaining debt so the trade is visible.

What closing costs should I expect on a refinance?

Typically 2–3% of the loan: origination, appraisal, title, and recording fees. Use line J of the Loan Estimate — and be skeptical of "no-closing-cost" refis, which either raise the rate (lender credit) or roll costs into the balance. Both are fine choices; neither is free.

Does the old rule about waiting for a 1% rate drop hold?

It is a decent first filter, nothing more. On large balances a 0.5% drop can pay back in a year; on a small balance with five years left, even 2% may never recoup the closing costs. Balance, spread, term reset, and years-stayed decide it — which is why they are the inputs here.

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